Voice of the Mountain People

Archive for November, 2009

PPP likely to grab reserved seats

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 19, 2009

By Our Reporter

Islamabad, November 19: After emerging as the majority party in the Nov 12 polls PPP is likely to grab the reserved seats for women and technocrats also.

In the house of 33 members PPP seats are expected to rise to 19 after the joining in of JUI and MQM. The party has grabbed 14 out of 23 seats and Ayub Shah too was a member of PPP who contested as an independent candidate after falling to secure party ticket for the elections.

According to well placed sources Sadia Danish, president of PPP women wing has emerged as front-runner on the reserved seat for women while Amber Advocate, Dilshad Bano and Yasmeen Nazar are also considered for the slot. The seats of technocrats are likely to go to Hunza, Gilgit and Baltistan.

Mehdi shah is seen by most as the first chief minister while the names of Wazir Baig and Muhammad Ali Akhtar are also said to be under consideration.

It is merit to mention that the newly elected candidates along with those who failed to grab seats in the polls are in islamabad and well place sources say that President Asif Ali Zardari had finalized the names for the post of Governor and Chief Minister before leaving for Kabul. The new government is said to be sworn in by 25th of this month.

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PPP declared successful on Gilgit seat after re-polling

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 19, 2009

By Farooq Ahmed

GILGIT, November 19: The Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan has declared Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) candidate Aftab Haider successful from LA-3, Gilgit-III constituency.

The result was announced after re-polling in four stations. Returning Officer Raja Minhaj said here on Wednesday that Mr Haider got 6,006 votes and was declared successful.

Asad Zamin, district magistrate and election commissioner, said that 28 people were arrested ‘who were creating law and order crisis during the polling’.

Police also recovered weapons from the workers of a political party and cases were registered against the accused.

US-returned independent candidate Mehboob Hussain Obama was arrested. The candidates of MQM and PML-Q were also taken into custody after a protest in Danyore, senior police officials said.

SP Gilgit Ali Sher said that unidentified persons shot at and injured one person. Police baton charged and resorted to fire teargas shells to disperse a public gathering which was being turned into a mob.

He said weapons were recovered from some people and cases were registered. He said that some protestors damaged police vehicles and blocked roads to stop people from going to the polling stations.

Huge contingents of police, Punjab Rangers and other paramilitary forces were deployed in Danyore which took strict security measures around the polling stations.

MQM candidate Hadi Hussain alleged that massive rigging took place during polling. He said that they would resist anti-democratic actions in the region. The MQM leader said that one of their workers, Ishaq, was injured.

Meanwhile, residents of Danyore complained that teargas caused problems to senior citizens and children in the once peaceful area.

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PML-N put off protest, PML-Q accept results

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 17, 2009

By Farooq Ahmed

GILGIT, November 16: Pakistan Muslim League-N (PML-N) put off its strike for three days after negotiation with the administration of the region and said they would fight their case in tribunals, senior leadership said.

“We have been assured that there would be tribunal for speedy hearing which would dispose of election petition within three months” Hafizur Rehman president PML-N said.

However, PML-Q accepted the results to promote democratic norms.

“We have recorded ours stand on results of the elections but it does not mean that elections were fair and transparent” Marvi Memon, in charge Gilgit-Baltistan said.

She also mentioned of some privilege motions against some federal ministers who had part of Pakistan People’s Party campaign for polls.

Muttahida Qaumi Movement, however, continued to protest against the results and said the riggings had become part of history.

The administration had tightened up security in Gilgit, capital town of region, as law enforcing agencies kept patrolling and deputed at parts of the city.

Section 144 was imposed in Skardu and Ghanche districts and all kinds of public gatherings were banned to avoid post election untoward incidents, administration sources said.

The life had begun to come on routine after elections when PML-N refused to accept the results and protested.

The election commission did not issue any schedule to hold re-elections in some polling stations of LA-17 Diamer-III where polling were postponed after two groups clashed in a polling stations resulting two casualties and same injuries while re-elections would be held on four polling stations in LA-3, Gilgit-III.

The MQM candidate Cap (R) Hadi Hussain, however, announced to boycott and appealed voters to stay away from polls as, according to him, the polls were rigged.

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GB polls: Kaira says new Govt till Nov 24

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 17, 2009

Monitoring Desk

ISLAMABAD, November 15: Acting Governor Gilgit-Baltistan Qamar Zaman Kaira has said that the process of forming government in Gilgit-Baltistan would be completed till November 24 or 25.

While talking to a private TV channel, he said the government had made elaborate arrangements and provided all facilities to hold the elections. Full security cover to political leadership was also provided to run election campaign of their parties in the area, he added. He said re-polling at four polling stations of GBLA-3 Gilgit would be completed on November 18.

After completing the process of special seats, meeting of the GB Assembly would be convened to elect Speaker and Deputy Speaker, he said.

He said entire process to form a new government would hopefully be accomplished by November 24 or 25.

He said PPP is a popular and traditional party in Northern Areas since 1972 because its founding leader Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto had played dynamic role for the progress and prosperity of the people of this region.

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EC notifies official result of GB polls

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 17, 2009

By Farooq Ahmed

GILGIT, Nov 15: The Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan notified official results

19 constituencies out of 23 seats of general elections for

Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly held on Nov 12.

Notification issued late Sunday disclosed that in Gilgit district

Independent candidate Syed Razi uddin Rizvi from LA-1, Gilgit I and

another independent candidate Didar Ali from LA-2 Gilgit II, PPP

candidate Muhammad Ali Akhtar had won from LA-4 Gilgit-IV while PML-Q

candidate Mirza Hussain was declared successful from LA-5 Gilgit-V and

Wazir Baig , PPP candidate from LA-6 Gilgit-VI.

In Skardu, notification added, PPP-candidate Mehdi Shah was successful

from LA-7 Skardu-I, PPP candidate Nisar Hussain from LA-8, Skardu-II,

PPP candidate Wazir Shakil Ahmed from LA-9, Skardu III, PPP candidate

Wazir Hassan from LA-10, Skardu IV, PPP candidate Syed Muhamamd Ali

Shah Rizvi LA-10, Skardu 11 were among the successful candidates while

MQM candidate Raja Azam Khan was also declared successful from LA-12

Skardu VI.

The notification said in Astor district Abdul Hamid, independent

candidate from LA-13, Astor I, who later joined PPP was successful and

PPP candidate from LA-14 Astore II was also notified as successful


The notification said that in Diamer district PMl-Q  Bashir Ahmed was

successful from LA-15 Diamer I and PML-N candidate Janbaz Khan from

LA-16, Diamer II and JUI candidate Gulbar Khan from LA-18, Diamer IV.

The notification said that inGhizer district Dr. Ali MAdad Sher was

successful from LA-20, Ghizer I and he belongs to PPP and independent

candidate Muhamamd Ayub Shah from LA-21, Ghizer III.

The official results in Ghanche were also notified which disclosed

that Muhammad Jaffar, PPP candidate won from LA-22 Ghanche I, PML-N

candidate from LA-23, Ghanche II and PPP candidate Muhamamd Ismail

from LA-24, Ghanche III were also among successful candidates.

The Chief Election Commissioner, Rahim Nawaz Durrani said that results

of LA-3, Gilgit III and LA-17, Diamer III were held and there would be

reelections in some polling stations of these two constituencies later


The reelection in LA-3, Gilgit III, he added, would be held on Nov 18

while in LA-17 Diamer III would be announced later on.

The results shown that PPP has bagged 12 seats, JUI 1, MQM 1, PML-N 2, PML-Q2.\

PPP to announce its candidate for Chief Minister on Nov 16.

The Election Commission, however, delayed results for one day as it

was scheduled to announce it on Nov 14.

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Fake photographs doubt MQM’s assumed public popularity

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 14, 2009

Monitoring Desk

Islamabad, November 14: A photograph of MQM election rally in Skardu published in the Daily Express has opened the Pandora’s Box casting doubts over the media reports about the election while pointing towards the party’s assumed public support in the region.


Image of the fake photograph published in Daily Express

 Analysts are of the view that the claims of massive support were mere lies supported by fake photographs and biased reports published in leading newspapers and aired on the country’s leading media channels.

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PPP gets mandate to rule Gilgit-Baltistan

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 14, 2009

GILGIT / SKARDU, November 14: The Pakistan People’s Party has won 12 of 23 contested seats and became the largest party in the 33-seat Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly, according to unofficial results released by the region’s Election Commission. PML-N secured only two seats. The result in one constituency was withheld after the polling agent of an independent candidate was killed in a clash in Darel of the southern Diamer district on Thursday while polling was put off in another area after the death of a candidate. The fiercely-contested elections were largely peaceful with a high voter turnout. There were allegations of rigging in some constituencies. The newly-elected lawmakers will first elect six women and three technocrats on reserved seats, after which the assembly, minus LA-19 (Sher Qila-Chatorkhand in Ghizer district), would elect the region’s first chief minister. PPP’s regional chief Syed Mehdi Shah has emerged as a front-runner for the post after his party bagged seven out of the nine seats in the two districts of Baltistan. The PPP had fielded 23 candidates, Muttahida Qaumi Movement 18, Pakistan Muslim League-N 15, PML-Q 14 and the Awami National Party three. The Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam (Fazl), Jamaat-i-Islami and the Tehrik-i-Insaaf had fielded two candidates each. But the JI, PTI and the ANP could not get a single seat. The PML-Q, MQM, and JUI-F won one seat each while independents secured four. The elections were monitored by various human rights organisations and NGOs. According to District Election Commissioner Asad Zamin, Syed Raziuddin (ind) was declared successful in one of the most sensitive constituency, LA-1. He bagged 10,080 votes, defeating PML-N’s Jafarullah. The LA-2 seat was won by independent candidate Didar Ali who bagged 5,300 votes and defeated strong candidates fielded by the PML-N and the PPP. The official said that results for LA-3 had been withheld because of complaints about transparency. He said that re-election would be held in four polling stations, he said. He said that PPP candidate Mohammad Ali Akhtar won LA-4 (Nagar-I) with 4,200 votes while LA-5 was secured by PML-Q’s Mirza Hussain who defeated PPP’s Zulfiqar Ali Murad. Mr Hussain is the only PML-Q contestant to retain his seat in the region’s assembly. In LA-6, PPP’s Wazir Baig was declared successful. He bagged 5,414 votes, defeating MQM’s Kamil Jan. Election results of nine constituencies of Baltistan division’s two districts were announced by the District Election Commissioners of Skardu and Ghangche. According to unofficial results, seven of nine seats have been won by the PPP while MQM and PML- None seat each. In LA -7 (Skardu-I), Syed Mehdi Shah of PPP obtained 6,697 votes, defeating PML-Q’s Wazir Villayat Ali who got 1,909. Former deputy chief executive Fida Mohammad Nashad of the PML-N received just 286. In LA-8 (Skardu-II), PPP’s Sheikh Nisar Hussain Sarbaz won with 8,077 votes, while his opponent Syed Mohammad Ali Shah (Ind) received 4,609. In LA-9 (Skardu-III), WazirShakeel Ahmedwith 6,181 votes while Haji Fida Mohammad Nashad of the PML-N got 3,312. Results for the Gultary sub-division is still awaited because of communication problems caused by heavy snowfall. The LA-10 (Skardu-IV) in the Roundu valley was won by Wazir Hassan of the PPP who got 4,551 votes against journalist-turned politician Raja Hussain Khan Maqpon (ind) who secured 3,260. In LA -11 (Skardu-V) in Kharmang valley, PPP’s Syed Mohammad Ali Shah got 4,368 votes, against 3,180 votes polled by Fauzia Saleem Abbas. In LA-12 (Skardu-VI) in Shigar valley, MQM’s Raja Azam Khan was declared the winner with highest vote count – 10,606 – while PPP candidate Imran Nadeem got 8,852 votes. In three constituencies of Ghanche district, unofficial results are as follows: LA-22 (Ghanche-I), Mohammad Jaffer of PPP defeated Mohammad Ibrahim Sanai of PML-N. In LA–23 (Ghanche-II), PML-N’s Maulana Mohammad Abdullah won with 3,999 votes, while Amna Ansar of the PML-Q polled 3,885 votes. Ghulam Hussain of the PPP received 3,517 votes against MQM’s Abid Hussainwho obtained 277. In LA-24 (Ghanche-III), Mohammad Ismail of the PPP won for the fourth time from his constituency, bagging 5,557 votes. He defeated PML-N’s Mohammad Shafique who got 4,067 votes. In Ghizer district, elections were held in two constituencies and according to unofficial results, both were won by PPP candidates – Ali Mada Sher, who got 3,206 votes from LA-20 (Ghizer-II), defeating PML-N’s Sultan Madad, who got 2,064 votes, and PPP’s provincial secretary-general Ghulam Mohammad, who won the seat from LA-21 (Ghizer-III). He got 4,961 votes aginst Mohammed Ayub, an independent candidate, who secured 4,894. Polls in LA-19, Ghizer-I was put off after the death of MQM’s candidate. PPP failed to win any seat in Diamer district, both of which were bagged by JUI-F. Results of two constituencies were withheld because of violence. In Astore district, a seat was secured by a PPP and the other by an independent candidate. In LA-13 (Astore-I), Abdul Hameed (Ind) got 3,371 votes, defeating PML-N’s Farman Ali who secured 3,342. In LA-14 (Astore-II), PPP’s Mohammed Naseer won by bagging 1,915 votes. He defeated Mehboob Khan, independent, who got 1,760 votes.-Dawn

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PPP in sight of majority in Gilgit-Baltistan

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 13, 2009

GILGIT / SKARDU, Friday 13: The first elections for the Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly were held largely peacefully across the region on Thursday, with no major incident of violence reported during the polling.
According to unofficial results announced around midnight, the PPP appeared poised to win a majority in the assembly.
Despite chilly weather, people in large numbers came out to cast their vote to elect their representatives to the assembly that will enjoy more powers under the political reforms recently introduced by the government.
The high voter turnout was, however, tainted by allegations of rigging in some rural constituencies.
Large queues of men and women were seen outside polling stations in most areas.
The only exception was the southern district of Diamer where conservative contestants of all major parties did not allow women to come out to vote.
An untoward incident, the worst of the day, was reported from the LA-15 constituency of Chilas where supporters of PML-Q candidate Bashir Ahmed and independent Mohamed Amin pelted each other with stones and several people were injured.
There were complaints about interference in polling by activists of different parties from some hotly contested electoral wards, including LA-3, Danyor, near the city of Gilgit.
Candidates complained that women voters had been prevented from voting at two booths by activists of some parties, prompting the home secretary to deploy paramilitary units.
Two people were injured in a clash in Dasso Nit village of Shigar valley between supporters of Raja Azam Khan of the MQM and Imran Nadeem of the PPP.
Police registered a case against 45 people. In the Wazir Pur area of the same constituency, supporters of the PPP reportedly pelted their rivals with stones.
A polling agent of the MQM for the Skardu-1 seat accused the PPP of casting bogus votes, but the agent of the PPP refuted the allegation.
Official results will be declared on Saturday. Despite complaints about a last-minute revision of voter lists, the results are expected to be accepted by most parties which will now focus to the next phase in which the assembly will elect six women and three technocrats to reserved seats.
The assembly will then elect the region’s first chief minister. The Pakistan People’s Party’s regional chief Syed Mehdi Shah has emerged as a front-runner for the post.
Polling got under way at 8am and wrapped up by 4pm. In all, 256 candidates were vying for 23 seats.
The electorate comprised 714,966 people, including 330,391 women, for whom 989 polling stations were set up.
The election in LA-19, Ghizer, was postponed after the death of a candidate. Only those possessing Computerised National Identity Cards (CNICs) were allowed to vote.
Around 6,000 security personnel were deployed at all the polling stations. Counting of votes at some polling stations continued till late in the night.
Chief Secretary Babar Yaqoob Fateh Mohammed said representatives of human rights organisations and NGOs were allowed to visit polling stations to ensure transparency of the electoral process.
He said that besides police, Northern Areas Scouts, Rangers and Frontier Constabulary personnel were available for security, while the army was available on call.
Election Commissioner Rahim Nawaz Khan Durrani said that security personnel and election staff members were paid a special allowance of Rs300 each for those deployed in cities and Rs1,000 in rural areas.
He said the overall turnout was satisfactory, although it was low in remote areas because of harsh weather.
Voting at some polling stations was completed two hours before the closing time with 100 per cent votes cast.
According to unofficial results, Syed Mehdi Shah of the PPP was declared winner from Skardu-1 with 5,295 votes, while Wazir Villayat Ali of the PML-Q came second with 2,270 votes.
In Skardu-6, Raja Azam Khan of the MQM won with 5,151 votes against 3,257 of PPP’s Imran Nadeem.
In Skardu-2, Shaikh Nisar of the PPP had a lead over Syed Mohammad Ali Shah in a close contest.
In Skardu-3, Wazir Shakeel Ahmed of the PPP had a lead over Haji Fida Mohammad Nashad of the PML-N.
In Skardu-4, Raja Hussain Khan Maqpon and Wazir Hassan of the PPP were running neck and neck.
In Skardu-5, Syed Mohammad Ali Shah of the PPP appeared to be in a winning position.
In Ghanche-1, Mohammad Jaffer of the PPP was leading.
In Ghanche-2, Maulana Abdullah of the PML-N was leading with 4,066 votes against 3,941 of Amna Ansari.
In Ghanche-3, Engineer Ismail of the PPP won with 5,601 votes against Mohammad Shafique of the PML-N who got 4,059 votes.-DAWN

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[Face look] Photos of candidates

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 10, 2009


Abid Hussain MQMAftab Haider pppEngineer Mohd Ismail pppHadi Hussain MQMHafizur RehmanIbrahim SanaiJaffarullah PML_N

Jamil AhmedKamil JanMirza HussainMohd Ali Akhtar

Mohd Musa-PPPNoor MohdShehr Yar KhanSyed Raziuddin RizviWazir BaigZulfiqar Ali Murad



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[Analysis] Tough fight on cards in Gilgit, Hunza-Nagar

Posted by Gilgit Tribune on November 10, 2009

By Farooq Ahmed and Zulfiqar Ali Khan


With polling only two days away, tough contests seem likely in the six constituencies of Gilgit and Hunza-Nagar districts in the first elections for the newly created Gilgit-Baltistan legislative assembly.

Electioneering for a total of 23 seats at stake for 33-seat house ended on Tuesday night after last-minute efforts by candidates and their supporters to lure voters by holding public rallies and corner meetings.

The capital city of Gilgit and its suburbs present a festive look with banners, hoardings, stickers and other publicity materials displayed on every building and public place.

The visit of top leaders of all major political parties to the area and the presence of mainstream print and electronic, which gave a substantial space and coverage to the election, brought the region into the limelight.

Political experts expect a shift in the voting trend, which has so far been based on lines of sects, clans, tribes and personalities.

The entry of new players in the fray has broken the two-party politics giving tough time to the traditional politicians. But independent observers see the Pakistan People’s Party better placed to win, though not with a big margin. The people of the two populous districts still have the hangover of their love affair with the party’s founder, hanged former Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, who was the first Pakistani leader to lend a sympathetic ear to the miseries of the forsaken poor of Gilgit-Baltistan, especially the people of Hunza-Nagar by liberating them from a despotic rule of Mirs of the two former princely states. It was his party that gave them the right to franchise.

Pakistan People’s Party, Pakistan Muslim League-N, PML-Q, Awami National Party, Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), Gilgit-Baltistan Democratic Alliance, Jamaat-i-Islami and a number of independents are vying for six seats of the two districts.

Religious parties, who were dominating the political scene in the ‘90s, have witnessed a sharp decline in their overall public support and vote bank. Nevertheless, they still have strong influence in Gilgit city and its adjacent areas.

The Gilgit district has a complex situation. The LA-1 Gilgit-I is considered to be very sensitive constituency which has witnessed sectarian violence in the recent past. This has also reflected in electoral politics in the past. But this time around the situation has totally changed with the intervention of new political parties.

There are four potential candidates in the constituency. However tough contest is expected between Raziuddin Rizvi, (Independent) and PML-N’s Jaffarullah. PPP’s Mohammad Musa is contesting from this constituency. Analysts see shifting of Musa from his traditional constituency LA-2, Gilgit-II to this constituency as a desperate move by the party to save its face. This can only increase the chances of his defeat. “If a leader is not confident of winning in his constituency, then there is no guarantee that he will win from an alien one,” said a PPP worker who requested not to be named.

The estimated population of the constituency is 56,641 and out of them there are 48,574 registered voters — 28,322 male and 20,252 female who will cast their vote at 56 polling stations.

However, a neck-and-neck contest is expected in LA-2 Gilgit-II between PPP’s Jamil Ahmed and Hafiz Hafeezur Rehman of PML-N, a lone outspoken member in the last assembly. Jamil Ahmed previously contested from the platform of JUI-F. In LA-2 Gilgit-II the estimated population is 64,573 and total registered voters are 61,753 with 37,628 male and 24,125 female and 82 polling stations.

The LA-3 Gilgit-III is giving an uncertain picture because PPP candidate Advocate Aftab Haider and MQM leader look like favourites but independent candidate Capt (retd) Shafi could give them a very tough time. PML-Q candidate Muhammed Sharif and ANP candidate Yawar Abbas are also running for the slot.The estimated population of the constituency is 69,395. The number of registered voters is 39,410. The number of male voters is 20,679 and that of female is 18,731 with 66 polling stations in the constituency.

A new powerful entrepreneur class who benefited from the border trade and commerce on the Karakoram Highway, tourism, timber trading, contracts, and transportation will play a pivotal role as a sizable number of them are contesting from different constituencies, such as Capt (retd) Hadi Hussein, Jamil Ahmed, Kamil Jan, Mirza Hussein, Zulfiqar Murad and Mohammed Ali Akhter.

In LA-6 Hunza, for the first time, a large number of candidates are contesting the polls. Different factors including kinship-based politics, blame-games, Benazir Income Support Programme funds and pouring in of money by some candidates are shaping the new political scenario in the most developed and literate constituency. Tough contest is, however, expected between Wazir Baig (PPP), Kamil Jan (MQM) and Noor Muhammad of All Hunza Action Committee.

Wazir Baig appears to be a strong candidate as he is considered to be an upright and down to earth politician, has to his credit a number of development schemes he initiated during his last tenure. The visits of different ministers to Hunza may also boost his image. Former Chief Executive Ghazanfar’s son Shehryar Khan does not have the chance of winning a seat as he has no roots among the new generation who have been disenchanted with the performance of his father. Majority of his traditional voters are now supporting either Kamil Jan or PML-Q’s Rehmatullah Baig. The young banker is even facing tough time in his native town Karimabad.

Similarly, the MQM candidate has not left any stone unturned in filling the political vacuum created by the former representatives. However, political experts and conscious circles are concerned about the surprise entry of this new political force in the peaceful society given its reputation of alleged role in years of violence in Karachi.

Some rivals have accused MQM candidates of distributing money among village organisations and women’s organisations to influence the election results and promised more money after winning the election.

Three independent candidates – Arif Hussain, Shahbaz Khan, Aziz Ahmed and Ijlal Hussain – are relatively new and have no substantial political or mass support. They may play as spoilers.

The total population of the constituency is estimated to be over 61,229. The number of total registered voters in Hunza is 33,936 with 17,174 male and 16,519 female.

The situation in LA-4 Nagar-I foreshadows a close contest between Sheikh Mushtaq Hussain, the son of the late Sheikh Ghulam Haider Najfi, and Muhammad Ali Akhtar of the PPP. Mr Akhtar, despite a poor performance in his last tenure also enjoys the support of the federal government and can boast of the political package announced by his party and the Benazir Income Supports Programme. The population of the constituency is 29,603 and total registered voters is 21,204 – 10945 male and 10259 female.

In LA-5, Nagar-II the situation is, however, not as favourable for Zulfiqar Ali Murad, the ticket holder of PPP, where Kalbe Ali, the president of the Hunza-Nagar PPP chapter is also contesting as an independent candidate after failing to get the party ticket. Mirza Hussain of the PML-Q is said to get the benefit of the division in the PPP ranks. The population of Nagar-II constituency is 67,424 and registered voters are 13,664. The number of male voters is 7,198 and female 6,466 female.

Overall, it appears that PPP is set to win these elections because it has the advantage of being the ruling party. Taking into consideration the political realism of the political class and people, it can be said that people will not opt for a government in Gilgit-Baltistan which is opposed to ruling party in the country because it will harm their interests. Coupled with this calculative rationality in politics, the “empowerment package”, administrative and financial support, BISP and recently announced incentives by the prime minister in Gilgit and Skardu will pave the way for a modest if not a landslide victory for the party.

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